P() 1 83 81 213127E()234.
8828
7(2011̨ģ)ijγ̿˷ʵֽУÿֿ˳ɼֻǡϸ롰ϸֿ˶ǡϸÿγ̿ˡϸףңۿкϸĸʷֱΪ0.9,0.8,0.7ʵ鿼кϸĸʷֱΪ0.8,0.7,0.9пǷϸ֮ûӰ죮
(1)ףңۿ˺ϸĸʣ (2)˸ÿγ̿˶ϸĸ(λС) [] 衰ۿ˺ϸΪ¼A1ۿ˺ϸΪ¼A2ۿ˺ϸΪ¼A3AiΪAiͼi1,2,3.
衰ʵ鿼˺ϸΪ¼B1ʵ鿼˺ϸΪ¼B2ʵ鿼˺ϸΪ¼B3.
(1)衰ۿ˺ϸΪ¼C P(C)P(A1A2A3A1A2A3A1A2A3ȣA1A2A3) P(A1A2A3)P(A1A2A3)P(A1A2A3)P(A1A2A3)
0.90.80.70.90.80.30.90.20.70.10.80.7 0.902.
(2)衰˸ÿγ̿˶ϸΪ¼D.
P(D)P[(A1B1)(A2B2)(A3B3)] P(A1B1)P(A2B2)P(A3B3) P(A1)P(B1)P(A2)P(B2)P(A3)P(B3) 0.90.80.80.70.70.90.254.
ԣ˸ÿγ̿˶ϸĸΪ0.254.
1εķֲ±ʾE()1.6ab( )
P A.0.2 C0.2 [] C
[] 0.1ab0.11ab0.8
E()00.11a2b30.11.6a2b1.3 ɢ٢ڽa0.3b0.5ab0.2ӦѡC. 24ζظУ¼Aǡ÷1εĸʲСǡ÷εĸʣ¼AһзĸpȡֵΧ( )
A[0.4,1] C(0,0.6] [] B
B(0,0.4] D[0.6,1)
0 0.1 1 a 2 b B0.1 D0.4
3 0.1
[] ¼AһзĸΪp
122
֪C4p(1p)3C2p(1p) 4
p0.4ѡB.
3(2011ʮУ)֪XN(3,22)X2ǣ3D()( )
A0 B1 C2 D4 [] B
[] X2ǣ3D(X)4D()D(X)224 D()1.
4(2010ɳģ)ǷӶֲB(np)45
E()15D()npֵΪ( )
4
3
A60 43
C50 4[] B
[] ɦΡB(np)E()np15 45
D()np(1p)
41
pn60.ѡB.
4
5һƷĴƷΪ0.01ȡ20ΣôƷΪΣD()( )
1
B60
41
D50 4
A0.2 C0.198 [] C
B0.099 D0.99
[] ߦΡB(20,0.01)D()200.01(10.01)0.198.
1
6ΡB(100)P(Σk)ȡֵʱk________.
2[] 50
?1?k?1?100k
?? [] P(Σk)Ck100??22
????
k?1?100
C100??֪
?2?
k50ʱȡֵ
7ijѧסҡѡΣѧǷѡſγ̻Ӱ죬֪ijѧֻѡĸΪ0.08ֻѡҵĸ0.12ѡһŵĸ0.88æαʾѧѡĿγûѡĿγij˻
(1)ǡf(x)x2xΪRϵżΪ¼A¼Aĸʣ
(2)εķֲкѧ
[] ѧѡסҡĸʷֱxyz x?1y??1z?0.08
??
?xy?1z?0.12
??1?1x??1y??1z?0.88