1ָģ 2ʷ
CÿֻƱͶʽ֮һϵͱʹã 1ָģ 2ʷ
Aͷ
1ɵָģͣr??i??A?irMԼ?2i???i?2M??2eiɵã rA?2.961%rB?6.031%rC?3.554%
?2A?0.0055
4?20.00508?2B?C?0.02891 2ʷݣɵã
rA?2.961%rB?6.031%rC?3.554%
122?(ri,t?ri)2 ??i?t?112?1
?2A?0.0055
4?2?2B?0.00508C?0.02891 BЭ
1ɵָģͣ??ij??i??j?2Mɵã ?AB?0.002
7?BC?0.0054?AC?0.0062 12?(ri,t?ri)(rj,t?rj)2ʷݣCov(i,j)?t?111ɵã
Cov(A,B)?0.002Cov(B,C)?0.0059Cov(A,C)?0.0067
CÿֻƱֱͶʽ֮һͱ
rP?13(rA?rB?rC)?4.182%
?2P?132?A?12132?B?32?22C?32?AB?232?BC?232?AC?8.7%
13
23ݣ?m?10%
֤ȯ 1 2 3 4 5 6 棨% 15 12 11 8 9 14 1.0 1.5 2.0 0.8 1.0 1.5 2?ei% 30 20 40 10 20 10 A費գRF?5%ϡ
BգRF?5%ϡ Cգֹսϡ
A1㵥λձ ֤ȯi 1 2 3 4 5 6 2Ci i (Ri?Rf)?iRi?Rf 10% 7% 6% 3% 4% 9% ֮ 10% 4.67% 3% 3.75% 4 6 ֤ȯi 1 6 2 5 4 3 λձ 10% 6% 4.67% 4% 3.75% 3% ?ei1 6 2 5 4 0.333 1.35 0.525 0.2 0.24 2 ?i2i?ei2 ?j?1(Rj?Rf)?ji?ej0.333 1.685 2.21 2.41 2.65 2 ?j?1?ii2?ei2 Ci 0.033 0.225 0.133 0.05 0.064 0.033 0.258 0.371 0.401 0.485 2.5 4.71 4.69 4.63 4.53 14
3 0.3 0.1 2.95 0.585 4.31 ֪C*?maxCi?4.71ϰ֤ȯ16 3ʲϱ
Z1?130(10?4.7)?0.1767ͬZ6?0.1953
X1?Z1Z1?Z6?47.5%ͬX6?52.5%X3??9.5%X4??6.46%
X5??2.22%X6?50.3%
1
ծȯ A B C A970?1001?k1?±һ۶ǷͶӦòȡʲôж
ֽԪ 1 2 ּ 100 80 90 ?1100(1?k1)2 1100 1080 1090 k1=11.77%
970 936 980 B936?801?k2901?k31080(1?k2)1090(1?k3)22 k2=11.78%
C980?? k3=10.16%
һ۶ɲͶ߿ծȯAB ծȯC 2
ٶһծȯÿֽΪ100Ԫ5֧Ϊ1000ԪּΪ960Ԫ
A|ĵʡBĵʡ A=100/960=10.42%
5 B 960?3
?(1?k)t?1100?1000(1?k)5 k=11.1%
ծȯļ۸㼴ʺԶʡ
15
ծȯ A B C D ۸Ԫ 960 920 885 855 1 1000 2 1000 3 1000 4 1000 𣺼 (1?S01)?21000960100092010008851000855S01?4.17%S02?4.23%S03?4.16%S04?4%(1?S02)?(1?S03)?(1?S04)?43
Զ
(1?f12)?(1?f23)?(1?f34)?(1?S02)1?S01(1?S03)1?S02(1?S04)1?S03222f12?4.3% f23?4.02%
f34?3.5%4 ±ֽһ۶ǷծȯCļ۸ӦǶٲ
ʹ ծȯ A B C ֽԪ 1 2 ۸ 80 1100 120 1080 1120 985 880 1010 ծȯĵʲȣһ۶ ծȯB 880?1100(1?S01)801?0.25 S01=0.25
ծȯA 982??1080(1?S02)2 S02=0.0847
16